By John Q. Hosedrinker 
According to sources cited by Caliber.Az, Azerbaijan may consider lifting its ban on supplying weapons to Ukraine due to recent Russian attacks targeting Azerbaijani-linked energy infrastructure in Ukraine. These attacks include strikes on a SOCAR oil depot and a gas distribution station, with recent attacks prompting discussion between Presidents Zelensky and Aliyev. Previously, Azerbaijan had refrained from supplying arms to Ukraine but had provided humanitarian aid, however the situation appears to be evolving. The potential policy shift follows a history of close energy and trade ties between the two countries, suggesting a significant change in Azerbaijan’s stance on the conflict.
Read the original article here
Russian strikes on Azerbaijani energy sites in Ukraine may reportedly push Baku to arm Kyiv, a phrase that immediately grabs your attention, doesn’t it? The sheer audacity of such a scenario sends a jolt of, well, let’s just say it’s a lot to process. It’s a situation that’s complex and laden with geopolitical landmines. The initial shock of the headline quickly morphs into a series of questions, and a deep dive into the potential consequences of such an event.
Russian strikes on Azerbaijani energy sites in Ukraine may reportedly push Baku to arm Kyiv, and the implications ripple outwards, touching on the sensitive geopolitical balancing act Azerbaijan has been carefully performing. The reality on the ground is that tensions are already bubbling beneath the surface. The downing of the civilian airliner by Russia definitely didn’t help matters. It’s worth noting that Azerbaijan has a history of quietly supplying arms to Ukraine, operating under the radar. It’s a delicate dance, to say the least. Reports have surfaced of Azerbaijani-made shells being used by Ukraine.
Russian strikes on Azerbaijani energy sites in Ukraine may reportedly push Baku to arm Kyiv, but what about the specifics? The frustrating reality is that this entire idea is likely to remain in the realm of speculation. It’s a “may” and “reportedly” scenario, but there’s a distinct lack of concrete evidence suggesting a decisive shift in policy. There haven’t been any official declarations, announcements or visible escalations from Baku. This can be chalked up to a combination of factors, starting with Azerbaijan’s position on the global stage.
Russian strikes on Azerbaijani energy sites in Ukraine may reportedly push Baku to arm Kyiv, but the strategic location of Azerbaijan is a huge factor in all this. Consider the precarious position between two regional powers: Russia and Iran. To overtly fund Ukraine could potentially trigger a disastrous scenario, putting Azerbaijan in a very vulnerable position. Picture it: two powerful neighbors with their own agendas, waiting for any opportunity to exploit weakness. This is not a world that Azerbaijan can afford to ignore.
Russian strikes on Azerbaijani energy sites in Ukraine may reportedly push Baku to arm Kyiv, and Turkey’s potential involvement is something to keep a close eye on. Turkey’s willingness to step up in defense is another point to consider. It’s a complex relationship, and some questions arise. How reliable is Turkey as an ally, especially considering their complicated relationship with the West? Could such a situation trigger Dagestan? These are uncomfortable questions, but they are crucial when analyzing the potential domino effect.
Russian strikes on Azerbaijani energy sites in Ukraine may reportedly push Baku to arm Kyiv, and the existing arms trade between Azerbaijan and Ukraine is a known fact. It is very likely that Azerbaijan already provides some weapons and ammunition to Ukraine, but this exchange is likely conducted in a discreet manner, far from the public eye.
Russian strikes on Azerbaijani energy sites in Ukraine may reportedly push Baku to arm Kyiv, and how likely is such a scenario to happen? Let’s just say the situation is not a simple one. Direct military involvement from Azerbaijan could create an enormous problem.
Russian strikes on Azerbaijani energy sites in Ukraine may reportedly push Baku to arm Kyiv, but what could actually happen? Any direct attack against Azerbaijan would almost certainly draw in Turkey. However, that scenario has some serious potential obstacles in its way. Russia is overstretched with its war in Ukraine and has no troops to spare. Furthermore, it is presumed that Iran might not be interested in escalating the conflict, due to the risk of getting jumped by Israel. And that assumes Russia could open a new front in a faraway location.
Russian strikes on Azerbaijani energy sites in Ukraine may reportedly push Baku to arm Kyiv, and even if there was direct conflict with Azerbaijan, Turkey would still be in a very difficult position. There is a good chance Turkey, potentially drawing NATO into the mix. So the conclusion of the matter is that the most likely option for Azerbaijani leaders is to stick with the status quo, rather than actively aiding Ukraine. The risks are simply too high.