By John Q. Hosedrinker 
Azerbaijani journalists have published materials alleging a Russian order to shoot down an AZAL flight on December 25th near Aktau, Kazakhstan. The materials include an anonymous letter detailing the order to fire, attributed to an air defense commander, and audio recordings of the command to fire, followed by a missile launch. The journalists state that the audio is considered fairly credible due to the correspondence of the information. These materials have not yet been verified, however, the crash resulted in the death of 38 people, and Azerbaijani officials have previously claimed external interference was the cause.
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Plane crash near Kazakhstan’s Aktau: recording surfaces of Russian giving order to open fire – photo, video. So, it’s looking like there’s a lot of chatter about this incident, and the details that are coming out paint a pretty grim picture. The core of the story seems to center around a plane crash near Aktau, Kazakhstan, with some crucial evidence emerging in the form of a recording that allegedly captures the voice of a Russian officer giving the order to open fire. Photos and videos are circulating, further fueling the narrative.
The crucial bits of the recording itself lay out the timing of events in a stark, almost clinical way. It started with the order to fire, followed by the launch of a missile. Then, there’s a disturbing pause, and the central computer system reportedly indicates a miss. The officer then gives the command to fire again. The implication is, of course, that the target was a civilian airliner.
This scenario is made even more alarming by the context. We’re talking about a slow-moving, large civilian airliner flying in a straight line. Any competent military force should be able to bring down a plane like that. The fact that the system apparently missed the target on the first attempt, and then succeeded in the second, is even more terrifying.
The commentary then drifts into a wider analysis of the implications, especially the technological capability of the Russian military. It is observed that the missile’s impact on the tail section of the plane is visually evident in the footage. People seem surprised and shocked, and even questioning the capability of the Russian military, considering its second-rate capabilities.
The discussion also touches upon the capabilities of the Russian military’s surface-to-air missile systems, specifically the Pantsir-S system. There are references to past failures of similar systems, pointing out that these systems have struggled in various scenarios. It is also noted that this occurred with Kazakhstan, a country that Russia should be treating as an ally.
The conversation soon turns to more serious questions about Russia’s military strength. The idea of Russia’s nuclear arsenal is raised, including questions about its reliability. The prospect of nuclear war, triggered by incompetence or miscalculation, hangs heavily in the air. The concern about the potential loss of civilian life is also expressed.
The discussion moves into the realm of geopolitical strategy. The idea of supporting Ukraine, to deplete Russia’s resources in a proxy war, is considered, along with the ethical implications of such a strategy. It is noted that Russia’s focus has shifted to influencing right-wing groups.
The debate also touches upon the strategic implications, with discussions of the role of alliances, mutual assured destruction, and the potential consequences of escalation. The tone becomes increasingly grim, with people voicing fears about the future, given the current state of global affairs.
Ultimately, the discussion underlines the seriousness of the plane crash. It touches upon the implications of this event, from the technical competence of the Russian military to the broader geopolitical landscape. The concerns raised highlight the dangerous consequences of conflict and the importance of caution and diplomacy.