Azerbaijan demands Russia admit guilt in downing passenger jet with air defense as Moscow stonewalls investigation, and frankly, it’s a familiar story. It’s a scenario we’ve seen before, unfortunately, and the likely outcome paints a rather grim picture. Russia’s response, we can almost predict with a certain degree of accuracy, will probably involve a deflection, perhaps even a complete fabrication. Think about it, are they going to simply fess up, apologize, and offer compensation? History suggests that’s highly unlikely. It’s more plausible they’ll launch a smear campaign, perhaps even accuse Azerbaijan of something outlandish. We’ve seen this playbook before, haven’t we? Remember MH17? The world moves on, the details get buried, and Russia, seemingly, gets away with it.

Why would Russia persist in this behavior, especially when the evidence points so unequivocally to their involvement? The answer, sadly, lies in a combination of factors, including arrogance, and an ingrained adherence to the old Soviet doctrine of denying responsibility. This is the culture of power in Russia. They view themselves as a major world power and admitting fault to a smaller nation like Azerbaijan would be seen as a humiliating weakness. They believe they can do as they please, and that no one can hold them accountable. Admitting wrong, apologising and paying some compensation is something that, from their point of view, makes them look small. They’re operating under the illusion that they are above the law.

Of course, Azerbaijan needs to continue to press for answers and justice. The investigation into the downing of the passenger jet will be a long and difficult road. The fact that Russia is seemingly stonewalling the investigation makes the task incredibly difficult. Any attempt to gain justice will require perseverance, determination, and potentially, the support of the international community. The Netherlands, with its experience in the MH17 investigation, could potentially be an invaluable ally, providing expertise and insight.

Unconditional support for Azerbaijan is a complex issue. Azerbaijan needs to be supported for their own efforts, however that does not require blindly accepting everything that they are doing, especially in light of their recent actions. Supporting any country, regardless of its flaws, needs to be carefully considered, and it’s a delicate balancing act between geopolitical strategy and ethical considerations.

The situation in the Nagorno-Karabakh region is a prime example of this complexity, the displacement of minorities is a sensitive issue, with each side having its own narrative of the events. The removal of Azerbaijani people in Karabakh is a point of contention that needs to be discussed. These histories are a minefield of pain and loss, and the truth is often elusive and fragmented. The consequences of the actions by both sides are devastating to civilians.

The international community, when deciding how to approach this situation, is navigating a difficult moral and political landscape. The idea of a country being able to maintain a militia within its borders without accountability is problematic, and that goes against the principles of national sovereignty. The focus on the treatment of civilians, regardless of the political maneuvering of those in power, will be the most important.

While the focus here should be on finding the truth about the downed passenger jet, it’s difficult not to see parallels with other situations. The reality is that justice often seems to depend on who has the power. This isn’t a justification for Russian actions, but rather an observation about the uneven playing field of international relations. It’s a world where the rules often don’t apply equally, and where powerful nations can sometimes act with impunity.