President Trump declared on Monday night that Israel and Iran have agreed to a 12-hour ceasefire, commencing Tuesday morning. Trump’s post indicated Iran would initiate the cessation of hostilities, followed by Israel six hours later. While an Iranian official confirmed the ceasefire brokered by Qatar, Israel has yet to officially comment, with a cabinet meeting concluding with instructions to remain silent on the matter. Reports of explosions in Tehran and IDF warnings for evacuations preceded the announcement, as well as sirens in the Golan Heights.

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Trump: Israel and Iran have agreed on a ceasefire. Well, that’s the news, isn’t it? It seems like the former President announced that Israel and Iran have somehow agreed to a ceasefire. A 12-hour one, to be precise, starting at 7:00 a.m. Israel time. Now, anyone who has been following the news even casually knows that this is, shall we say, a developing situation. The immediate reaction? Skepticism, to put it mildly. It’s hard to believe it when there are multiple conflicting reports.

Trump on Saturday: *bombs Iran*, was the initial act in this saga. Then the turnaround; Trump on Monday: “God bless Iran!” That’s a pretty dramatic shift, wouldn’t you say? From bombs to blessings in just a few days. Then came the official announcement of the “12 Day War” — “a War that could have gone on for years.” It’s hard to forget, especially since official confirmation seemed to be missing.

On the other hand, as the world turns, so do the alliances and relations. Let’s just say, this whole situation is… unusual. Israel attacks Iran. Iran attacks back. Trump announces he’ll make a decision on joining the conflict in two weeks. Then, seemingly overnight, the nuclear sites get hit. Iran retaliates with an airbase in Qatar as if putting on a show, and suddenly, we’re talking about a ceasefire. It’s all happened at lightning speed, all within a week or so.

The problem is, while the world is hoping for the best, it’s hard to trust that this is anything other than a political theater. Remember the reports of explosions in Tehran just before the announcement? And the warning to evacuate certain areas? It doesn’t exactly scream “peaceful resolution.”

Of course, the most glaring issue is the lack of corroboration. CNN reported that a senior Iranian official said Iran “sees no reason for one,” and that any remarks from Israel and the US would be seen as a “deception.” So, who is right? And who is trying to pull the wool over the world’s eyes? It’s a classic case of “believe it when you see it.” It sounds like the kind of thing a project manager would say.

Let’s be honest, it sounds rather unbelievable, and to think the war could have destroyed the entire Middle East! It’s a bold statement, especially when you consider the history of the region. Trump has been wrong about a lot, so this is hard to believe.

I mean, it’s easy to get lost in all the headlines, the speculation, and the political posturing. But when it comes down to it, you have to ask yourself: Is this real? It would be a remarkable feat if he actually managed to broker a ceasefire.

On the other hand, there’s a prevailing sentiment that these situations often are perceived as a threat. Many people online, who have been adamant that this is the start of a larger conflict, have been proven wrong countless times. This isn’t the first time claims of impending doom have been made. Every time, the predicted widespread violence doesn’t materialize, and it’s time for people to stop pretending that things will escalate into massive tensions and larger wars.

There is a lot that can be questioned. Especially considering how much Trump likes to talk, it makes you wonder if the media is just trying to push a narrative. If the conflict does end, it would be a very good thing. And even if you strongly dislike him, you can’t deny the fact that it would be a remarkable achievement. But still, it’s hard to be confident in this when you also know that there have been no proposals made by the Iranians.