By John Q. Hosedrinker 
President Duda’s New Year’s address emphasized Poland’s unwavering commitment to its security, highlighting a strong military and robust alliances, particularly with the U.S., as crucial pillars. He advocated for increased NATO defense spending and prioritized strengthening EU-U.S. cooperation during Poland’s upcoming EU presidency. With 2025’s presidential elections approaching, Duda urged citizens to elect a successor prioritizing national security and upholding Poland’s sovereignty. He concluded by reflecting on Poland’s recent progress and expressing optimism for the future.
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The Polish president’s New Year’s message emphasized the urgent need for a just peace to conclude the ongoing war in Ukraine. He unequivocally stated that a Russian victory is unacceptable and that any lasting resolution must ensure a just peace to prevent future conflicts. This sentiment underscores the gravity of the situation and the deep concern shared by Poland, a neighboring nation directly impacted by the war’s consequences.
The call for a “just peace” raises several crucial questions about the terms of such an agreement. A key component, undeniably, is the complete withdrawal of Russian forces from all Ukrainian territory, including Crimea. The concept of a “just peace” also implicitly demands accountability for Russia’s actions. This would include significant reparations to compensate Ukraine for the immense damage inflicted and the prosecution of those responsible for war crimes before an international tribunal. The removal of Vladimir Putin from power, given his central role in instigating and perpetuating the conflict, would also seem a necessary condition.
Achieving a just peace, however, faces considerable obstacles. The depth of Russia’s commitment to the war, fueled by strategic calculations and a perceived necessity to maintain control over key territories and access to the Black Sea, suggests a significant hurdle. Russia’s investment in this conflict, both in terms of resources and military personnel, represents a considerable sunk cost. This investment makes a complete retreat unlikely unless they suffer a catastrophic military defeat. This fact drastically complicates negotiations and raises concerns about Russia’s willingness to abide by any peace agreement, even one deemed “just” by international standards.
Poland’s steadfast position, as articulated by President Duda, highlights the importance of strong alliances and robust military capabilities in maintaining regional stability. The President’s call for increased defense spending within NATO, specifically aiming for 3% of GDP, underscores Poland’s commitment to collective security and its recognition of the crucial role the United States plays in guaranteeing European security. This emphasis on a strong alliance and enhanced military preparedness underscores Poland’s understanding that a just peace requires not only diplomatic solutions but also the strength to deter further aggression.
The President’s focus on the upcoming 2025 Polish presidential elections emphasizes the long-term implications of this conflict and the need for continued leadership committed to securing Poland’s national interests. The call for a successor who prioritizes national security reflects the understanding that the ongoing war presents a protracted challenge that extends beyond the immediate conflict. Poland’s desire for strong US-EU cooperation further underlines the global nature of the security concerns. This cooperative effort is essential for managing the complex political and economic ramifications arising from the war and creating the conditions for lasting peace.
The Polish perspective, therefore, is not simply a reaction to the current crisis; it is a broader strategic vision that recognizes the profound and long-lasting implications of the war. The demand for a just peace is not merely a statement of ideals; it’s a pragmatic assessment of the conditions needed to ensure lasting peace in the region and prevent further escalation. This approach requires a nuanced understanding of the complexities involved, recognizing both the moral imperative for accountability and the strategic necessities for maintaining regional security and stability. The road to a just and lasting peace is undoubtedly long and fraught with challenges, yet the Polish president’s message serves as a critical reminder of the ultimate goal and the persistent effort required to achieve it.