By John Q. Hosedrinker 
Ukrainian intelligence recently provided Syrian rebels with approximately 150 FPV drones and 20 operators to aid in attacks against Russian and Syrian forces. This covert operation, though playing a modest role in the overall Syrian conflict, represents a broader Ukrainian effort to undermine Russian interests globally. While not a secret, the Ukrainian actions were reportedly unknown to senior Biden administration officials. Similar operations have targeted Russian mercenaries in Mali, resulting in significant casualties and severed diplomatic ties between Ukraine and Mali.
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Ukraine’s covert operation in Syria, as reported by sources, involved sending experienced drone operators and numerous FPV drones to aid Syrian rebels in Idlib. This support, though described as modest in its impact on the overall Syrian conflict, is significant in the context of Ukraine’s broader strategy to counter Russian influence. This action represents a substantial escalation of the conflict, extending beyond the immediate Ukrainian-Russian battlefield.
The operation’s success is evident in the noticeably improved tactical proficiency displayed by the rebels in recent videos. Improved tactics, coupled with the deployment of FPV drones, strongly suggests a direct impact of Ukrainian training and technology. This suggests a more sophisticated and coordinated approach to combat, a stark contrast to the less organized fighting previously observed.
The involvement of Ukrainian Special Operations Forces in advising and training the rebels further confirms the deliberate nature of Kyiv’s intervention. This goes beyond mere material support and shows a clear commitment to strategically weakening Russia’s allies. The deployment of Ukrainian forces, while potentially risky, underscores the seriousness of Ukraine’s commitment to undermining Russian interests beyond its own borders.
The timing of this operation is also noteworthy, occurring amidst the ongoing war in Ukraine and reflecting a calculated risk by Kyiv. This intervention serves as a potent countermeasure to Russia’s support for the Assad regime and the deployment of Syrian mercenaries in Ukraine. It represents a tit-for-tat response, escalating the conflict to a new level.
Ukraine’s actions have sparked considerable debate, prompting discussion about the long-term implications of supporting a group like Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), which has links to al-Qaeda. Concerns have been raised regarding potential blowback, especially in terms of bolstering anti-Ukraine sentiment globally. Critics point to the potential for this move to supply the Russian propaganda machine with ammunition and fuel further opposition to Ukrainian efforts.
However, proponents highlight the strategic benefits of weakening Assad, a key Russian ally, and disrupting Russia’s operations in the Middle East. The argument is that aiding in the overthrow of Assad is a justifiable response to Russia’s support of the Assad regime and its intervention in Ukraine. The situation presents a complex moral dilemma where the means used to counter Russian aggression raise ethical concerns.
The financial aspect of this operation raises questions, particularly given the significant costs of the ongoing war in Ukraine. The cost of deploying personnel and equipment represents a substantial investment, though some have attempted to minimize the cost relative to the overall war effort. The source of this funding remains unclear, with various suggestions proposed.
Despite the ethical complexities and potential risks, some view this operation as a successful example of unconventional warfare. The operation demonstrates Ukraine’s innovative use of technology and expertise to achieve strategic goals beyond its own borders. Others, however, question the wisdom of such a move, arguing that the potential negative consequences outweigh any perceived benefits. This covert operation, however, shows an initiative to combat enemies beyond the direct theatre of conflict.
The broader geopolitical ramifications are significant and far-reaching. This intervention underscores the increasingly complex and interconnected nature of the global conflict, extending well beyond the borders of Ukraine and Russia. This raises the question of whether this represents an escalation towards a wider conflict. While some claim that the current scenario doesn’t meet the criteria for World War III, the involvement of multiple actors in geographically dispersed conflicts certainly complicates the geopolitical landscape. The situation remains incredibly fluid and the long-term consequences remain to be seen.
Ultimately, the Ukrainian operation in Syria showcases a bold and calculated strategy, with potentially significant consequences. While the ethical implications are undeniable, the action speaks volumes about Ukraine’s resourcefulness and determination in the face of ongoing conflict with Russia. Whether this operation ultimately benefits Ukraine in the long run remains a subject of ongoing debate and analysis. The strategic implications, however, are clear: a direct challenge to Russia’s regional influence and a demonstration of unconventional warfare capabilities.