President-elect Trump’s reported plans to combat Mexican drug cartels, developed since early 2023, are gaining traction among even mainstream Republicans. Proposals range from covert special forces operations targeting cartel leadership to more overt actions like drone strikes and airstrikes. Key Trump nominees, including Hegseth and Rubio, publicly support military intervention. The plans, discussed with multiple Republican advisors, represent a spectrum of military force, from targeted assassinations to cyber warfare.

Read the original article here

The very notion of a Trump-led invasion of Mexico is terrifying. It’s not just the sheer scale of such an undertaking, but the utter lack of apparent planning and the potential for catastrophic consequences that makes the idea so unsettling. The casual way this seemingly reckless plan is being discussed is deeply disturbing.

The proposed invasion isn’t being framed as a conventional military campaign. Instead, it seems to be presented as a solution to the drug trade and immigration issues, which immediately raises concerns about its true objectives and the potential for unforeseen escalation. The focus on cartels masks a far more sinister and expansive ambition.

The potential for a devastating war on American soil is very real. Imagine a conflict involving entrenched cartels, US military personnel with ties to Mexico, American citizens defending their southern neighbors, and the potential for widespread civilian casualties. The initial shock and awe approach would likely be quickly replaced by protracted guerrilla warfare, far more complicated than a typical foreign conflict.

The logistical challenges are immense. The terrain of Mexico is incredibly diverse, making it extraordinarily difficult for any invading force to maintain control. The resources required to conduct a sustained campaign in such a vast country would be astronomical, and the cost in lives would be devastatingly high.

Furthermore, the political fallout of such a venture would be cataclysmic. The international condemnation would be immediate and widespread, damaging America’s standing on the world stage beyond repair. Even among domestic factions, the division and dissent would be unparalleled, potentially pushing the nation into a state of complete chaos.

The economic repercussions of an invasion are also readily apparent. The disruption to trade, travel, and investment would be crippling, leading to a global economic crisis. The cost of the military operations themselves would bankrupt the country.

The possibility of nuclear escalation, while admittedly far-fetched, remains a chilling consideration within the broader discussion. A protracted conflict involving heavy casualties and significant setbacks for the US military could cause the administration to consider extreme measures.

The implications for the millions of Mexican citizens are equally terrifying. The potential for widespread human rights abuses, mass displacement, and the destruction of their homes and communities is a grave concern.

There’s also the critical point that an invasion would inadvertently empower China. Mexico might very well turn to China for military support, deepening the economic and political ties between the two nations, creating a new powerful alliance right on America’s doorstep. This outcome would be the ultimate strategic blunder.

Beyond the military ramifications, this plan ignores the complex social and economic factors driving immigration and the drug trade. The simplistic approach of invasion would accomplish nothing in solving the root causes of these problems; in fact, it is likely to exacerbate them dramatically. Deporting millions of people from Mexico, many of whom are not associated with cartels, would only radicalize them and make them more likely to join such groups, increasing the very problem the invasion was supposed to solve. The consequences of such a myopic vision are too grim to contemplate.

The proposal, therefore, appears not just reckless, but also deeply ignorant of the realities of international relations, military strategy, and the cultural complexities of the US-Mexico relationship. It’s a terrifying glimpse into the potential for a disastrous miscalculation driven by ignorance and hubris. The potential for the US to become embroiled in a bloody and unwinnable war on its own border is a chilling prospect. The complete lack of strategic forethought and understanding of the human cost is truly appalling. The entire concept is a recipe for utter disaster.