By John Q. Hosedrinker 
Russia’s Ministry of Defense forecasts Ukraine’s demise as an independent state by 2045, proposing annexation of occupied territories, the creation of a pro-Russian puppet state around Kyiv, and leaving western regions’ fate to negotiations with neighboring countries. This plan, aimed at a multipolar world or global chaos, anticipates Russian victory in Ukraine to reshape international politics. Conversely, US or Chinese dominance are considered unfavorable outcomes for Russia, contingent on a Russian defeat or a frozen conflict. While President Trump’s election promises a swift end to the war, concrete plans remain unclear.
Read the original article here
The Kremlin’s purported “2045 Plan” for Ukraine is nothing short of a brazen attempt to redraw the global map, a real-life game of Risk played on a scale that dwarfs anything seen in recent history. The sheer audacity of a plan stretching two decades into the future is breathtaking; it assumes a level of long-term strategic foresight and control that simply doesn’t align with Russia’s current capabilities.
This supposed 2045 vision seems to envision a partitioned Ukraine: a quarter held directly by Russia, another half acting as a pro-Russian buffer state, leaving a mere 25% for a diminished, independent Ukraine. This isn’t a serious proposal; it’s a fantasy predicated on the complete disregard for the Ukrainian people’s will, making its feasibility practically nonexistent.
The plan reeks of a desperate attempt to assert Russia’s relevance on the world stage. It’s a power grab, fueled by delusions of grandeur. It showcases a profound miscalculation of Russia’s actual standing, both economically and militarily.
The economic realities of Russia cast a long shadow over these grandiose aspirations. Their economy is struggling, far from the robust superpower needed to sustain such a long-term project. Reliance on North Korea for supplies, and a failure to even maintain basic services like consistent McDonald’s access, underscore the fragility of their current situation. They can’t even control the flow of fast food, let alone a nation like Ukraine.
Furthermore, the plan’s geopolitical implications are alarming. Russia’s fantastical vision of a multipolar world where they play a central role is simply incompatible with the reality of a world increasingly dominated by the US and a rapidly rising China. This plan seemingly accepts China’s dominance, positioning Russia as a mere satellite in their sphere of influence – a hardly desirable outcome for Russia.
The very idea of labeling vast swaths of Ukrainian territory as “disputed” from the outset reeks of calculated chaos. It’s a thinly veiled attempt to justify further aggression and land grabs, under the guise of unresolved conflicts. The fact that such a plan exists serves as a stark reminder of the Kremlin’s true intentions, a blatant disregard for international law and sovereignty.
Even if Russia somehow managed to achieve a temporary victory in the current conflict, it’s highly unlikely that such a puppet state would remain compliant. The resentment and resistance fostered by decades of brutal occupation would inevitably lead to renewed conflict, creating a cycle of instability that belies the plan’s supposed long-term vision.
The assertion that this is simply an updated version of a long-held plan further adds to the seriousness of the situation. This indicates a persistent, long-term strategy focused on dismantling Ukraine and securing Russia’s interests through whatever means necessary. It highlights the urgency to confront and counter these ambitions directly.
There’s a palpable air of delusion in this plan. The sheer overestimation of Russia’s power, considering their military’s demonstrably poor performance and economic instability, suggests a dangerous disconnect between their perceptions and reality. Their military’s weaknesses, exposed in the current war, make the long-term success of such a grand scheme incredibly improbable.
In conclusion, the “2045 Plan,” if genuine, reveals a deeply flawed, dangerous, and ultimately delusional vision of global power. It underscores the importance of continued support for Ukraine and the necessity of robust sanctions to hasten Russia’s economic decline. The plan serves as a crucial wake-up call, highlighting the urgent need to bolster support for Ukraine and to ensure that such ambitious, destabilizing plans do not reach fruition. It’s a stark reminder of the stakes involved, not just for Ukraine but for the entire global order.