By John Q. Hosedrinker 
A final poll before Election Day shows Vice President Kamala Harris leading former President Trump in Iowa by three points, a significant swing from the double-digit lead Trump had over Joe Biden in June. The survey suggests Harris’ popularity surge is partly due to support from older women and independent voters, with her lead among women aged 65 and older being more than two times. Meanwhile, Trump continues to lead among Iowans between 35 and 54 years of age. Democrats aren’t surprised by the poll’s findings, suggesting it aligns with sentiments heard from various voter groups in Iowa. However, the Trump Campaign and Iowa GOP Chair, Jeff Kauffman, dispute the accuracy of this poll, citing an Emerson College poll that shows Trump still leading.
Read the original article here
The Final Iowa Poll showing Kamala Harris leading Donald Trump by 47-44 is nothing short of remarkable. Living in a state that historically leans Republican, I never expected to see this kind of momentum shift. The Selzer poll has always been a benchmark for accuracy, and for it to reveal such a lead for Harris sends ripples of hope through the Democratic base. It’s thrilling to think that if this reflects the true sentiments of Iowans, it could have seismic implications for the national race.
Casting my vote for Harris recently felt exhilarating, as I waited in line surrounded by countless others, especially young people who energized the atmosphere. It’s encouraging to see that demographic stepping up, demonstrating that they refuse to go back to the divisive politics of the past. The reality is clear: if everyone who believes in progress and equality turns out, Trump could face a substantial defeat, and that alone should serve as motivation for every eligible voter.
The key findings from the poll reveal more than just numbers; they show a palpable shift in voter sentiment, particularly among independent women, who back Harris with a 28-point margin. Senior women overwhelmingly support her as well, which is significant. It’s a demographic often overlooked but one that holds undeniable sway in an election. They seem to recognize the stakes, and their support signals an undeniable trend that can’t be ignored. The percentage of Democrats standing firmly behind Harris at 97% compared to Trump’s 89% speaks volumes about party alignment as well.
The implications of this poll extend far beyond Iowa. If Harris can dominate in a state Trump previously carried by a wider margin, it emboldens the belief that other states may also be in play. It reflects a national fatigue with Trump’s approach, particularly after the extreme measures his party took with the Dobbs decision. People are tired and ready for change. The reality of having seniors, especially women aged 65 and older, supporting Harris so decisively indicates the rejection of regressive policies that threaten their rights and well-being.
The looming election feels like it could parallel moments in history, resembling waves of change we’ve witnessed before. The optimism brewing within the Democratic base is palpable, and if the heart of this excitement translates into turnout, we might witness something even more historic than anticipated. I find myself envisioning a scenario similar to 2008, where an unexpected wave of support reshapes outcomes across the board.
Engagement is key right now. The enthusiasm for Harris is contagious, and I urge anyone in swing states to act on this momentum. It’s not just about Iowa; it’s about sending a message that we refuse to accept the divisive politics of the past. The fears around Trump’s potential for litigation against close results only strengthen the imperative for a decisive victory. It’s about rejecting the extremism that has gripped our nation for years now.
The melding of voices from all corners signals a potentially revolutionary moment. Reports show that Trump’s campaign is scrambling, embracing last-minute appearances in states he once took for granted, underscoring a significant shift in his prospects. It’s reassuring to know Selzer’s predictions historically align with reality, reinforcing my belief that we may be entering remarkably transformative territory.
The excitement here in Iowa is palpable and despite the ever-present caution that these polls can be off, I can’t help but feel that this time is different. There’s a sense of urgency in overcrowded polling places and the palpable hope in conversations around town. The narrative feels poised for significant change, and I believe that we in Iowa might just ignite a fire under the broader Democratic campaign.
The stakes have never been higher. Voter turnout is crucial, and if this poll is accurate, it could very well unearth a renaissance of civic engagement that we desperately need. Change is in the air, and it feels incredible.